Justice Kagan argued that the Voting Rights Act was enacted to prevent both overt and facially neutral voting rules from denying minority citizens an equal opportunity to vote. In her view, the historical record shows that jurisdictions repeatedly devise new mechanisms for racial vote suppression, making a robust §2 especially important after Shelby County v. Holder disabled the VRA’s preclearance system.
She read §2’s broad text to cover every kind of voting rule that results in racial inequality of voting opportunity. Section 2, she explained, does not require proof of discriminatory purpose: it reaches facially neutral rules that, in light of local social, economic, and historical conditions, make it harder for members of one racial group than for others to cast ballots.
Justice Kagan agreed that §2 calls for a totality-of-the-circumstances inquiry, but she argued that the majority turned that flexible inquiry into a set of extra-textual limits favoring States. In particular, she rejected the majority’s 'mere inconvenience' concept, its reliance on voting practices prevalent in 1982 or common today, and its suggestion that other voting options can excuse racial inequality in a particular voting method.
In her view, a State’s asserted interests should receive meaningful scrutiny. A discriminatory election rule should fail when a less discriminatory alternative would serve the State’s goals without significant impairment. Otherwise, States can too easily invoke generalized interests in fraud prevention or election integrity to justify practices that unnecessarily burden minority voters.
Justice Kagan concluded that Arizona’s out-of-precinct policy violated §2 because Arizona discarded substantially more such ballots than any other State and minority voters were statistically significantly more likely than white voters to have their ballots rejected. She stressed that Arizona’s frequent polling-place changes and disparate siting practices helped create that result, and that Arizona could have partially counted votes for races common to every precinct ballot.
She also concluded that HB 2023 unequally burdened rural Native American voters. Many lacked home mail delivery, lived far from post offices, and had limited access to automobiles; in those communities, third-party ballot collection by neighbors or clan members had become an important means of returning ballots. Because Arizona had shown no actual ballot-collection fraud and could have adopted narrower protections, she viewed the near-total collection ban as an unjustified racial disparity in voting opportunity.