Judge Posner agreed that the fraud claims were properly dismissed but would also have affirmed dismissal of all Fair Housing Act claims. In his view, the majority treated discrimination claims too leniently under Iqbal's generally applicable plausibility standard and effectively insulated ordinary discrimination claims from the scrutiny Iqbal demands.
He reasoned that a mistaken appraisal was an obvious and substantially more plausible explanation than intentional racial discrimination. Real-estate appraisals are inherently imprecise, and Swanson alleged no comparator, lending pattern, or other factual basis suggesting that similarly situated white applicants received better treatment.
The complaint's own allegations, in his view, further weakened the discrimination inference. Another bank had denied Swanson credit; Citibank had conditionally approved her request before receiving the appraisal; her existing mortgage debt was substantial; and she sought the loan during the 2008-09 financial crisis, when Citibank and other lenders were sharply restricting credit.
Judge Posner read Swierkiewicz as prohibiting judge-made heightened pleading rules for discrimination claims, not as exempting such claims from Twombly and Iqbal. He emphasized the Supreme Court's concern that weak claims can impose asymmetric and coercive discovery costs on institutional defendants, encouraging settlement regardless of merit. Because Swanson's allegations did not make racial discrimination a plausible explanation for the loan denial, he would have dismissed the case in full.