Whether the NRC violated NEPA or acted arbitrarily and capriciously under the APA by generically adopting a zero-release assumption for permanent nuclear-waste storage and preventing that uncertainty from being relitigated in individual reactor-licensing proceedings.
Holding
No. The NRC took the hard look NEPA requires, and its limited, generic zero-release assumption was within the bounds of reasoned decisionmaking.
Reasoning
NEPA has procedural rather than substantive force. It requires an agency to consider significant environmental consequences and disclose them to the public, but it does not require the agency to elevate environmental concerns above all other legitimate considerations. Judicial review therefore asks whether the agency adequately considered and disclosed environmental effects and whether its decision was arbitrary or capricious—not whether a court would have reached the same policy judgment.
The Commission did not ignore the uncertainty surrounding long-term disposal. Its rulemaking record, staff studies, hearings, and statement of considerations identified possible repository failures, including water intrusion, faulting, meteor impacts, and human intrusion. The Commission explained why it regarded the likelihood and expected consequences of those events as too small to affect individual licensing decisions. That consideration and disclosure satisfied NEPA’s hard-look requirement.
The Commission could address fuel-cycle effects through generic rulemaking. Long-term waste disposal is not meaningfully plant-specific: each reactor contributes waste to a common disposal problem. Resolving that common issue once promotes consistency and avoids repetitive litigation in every licensing proceeding. NEPA does not prescribe a particular internal decisionmaking structure or require every uncertainty to be reconsidered case by case.
The zero-release figure had to be read in context. It was not a comprehensive finding that nuclear-waste disposal posed no danger under every circumstance, nor was it a decision selecting final disposal technology or sites. It was a working assumption for the narrow purpose of assigning fuel-cycle impacts in individual licensing proceedings, while broader waste-disposal questions were being considered elsewhere.
The Commission reasonably concluded that Table S-3 was conservative as a whole. Although the table used a zero figure for releases after repository sealing, it assumed that volatile radioactive materials would escape while the repository remained open and incorporated other deliberately risk-averse estimates. The Commission could balance uncertainties in one part of a generic environmental calculation against overestimates in another; a reviewing court could not isolate one line item and treat it as dispositive.
The Court afforded heightened deference because the Commission was making predictive scientific judgments at the frontier of its technical expertise. The relevant APA question was whether the agency considered the relevant factors and drew a rational connection between the evidence and its choice. On that standard, the Commission’s judgment that the disposal uncertainty would not alter individual licensing outcomes was not arbitrary or capricious.